DMSTA Calibration & Enhancements for Reservoirs


Figures & Tables              

Summaries

Lake & Reservoir Dataset Index
Bar Charts of Dataset Characteristics
Depth & Load Ranges for Calibration Datasets vs. CERP Reservoir Designs
Depth & Load Ranges for Other Lake & Reservoir Datasets
Concentration Reductions - First Order Model 
Concentration Reductions - Second Order Model
Concentration Reductions - Biomachine Model
Biomachine Model - Reservoir vs STA Calibrations - K & C1

Steady-State Model Applied to Other Florida Lake Data

CERP Reservoir Simulations

 

Testing of Joint Calibration      K = 3.2 m/yr, C1 = 150 ppb, C0 = 4 ppb

Observed vs. Predicted Concentration Reductions
Observed vs. Predicted Concentrations & Loads
Scatter Plots - K vs. Dataset Features

Flow-Weighted Mean Residuals

Geometric Mean Residuals

Dynamic Residuals - All Datasets Combined - 30-90 Day Averages

Dynamic Residuals - All Datasets Combined - Yearly Averages

Sensitivity to K (1.6, 3.2, 6.4 m/yr) - Outflow Concentration, Load, & Storage

Sensitivity to Model (Biomachine, First-Order, Second-Order) - Outflow Conc, Load, & Storage

 

Summary of Individual Calibrations    C0 = 4 ppb, C1 = 150 ppb, K's Calibrated to Each Dataset
In these charts, red symbols represent observed values, lines represent simulated values.

Concentration

Concentration Residuals 

Log Concentration

Flow Residuals

Outflow Load

Depth Residuals

Outflow Volume

P Storage
Residuals vs. Dataset Characteristics

Depth

 

 Detailed Calibration Results - Lake & Reservoir Datasets  6
Summaries:  
Map   Listing   Bar Charts   Scatter Plots    Conc Time Series    Sensitivity to Model   Sensitivity to Calibration    Home
Dataset Source Map Calib
Years
Area
km2
Conc.
Reduc
HLR
m/yr
K
m/yr
Calib1 Sensitivity
to Model2
Sensitivity
to Calib3
Resids4 Notes / Limitations
Okeechobee
1975-1978
WWW 4 1732 69% 1.3 4.2 large; low HLR, wind effects;  calcium effects; trends;
outflow concs from open lake (pelagic zone)
Okeechobee
1979-1986
WWW 8 1732 53% 1.4 3.2 "
Okeechobee
1987-1994
WWW 8 1732 40% 1.3 2.0 "
Okeechobee
1995-1999
WWW 5 1732 28% 1.9 1.2 "
Okeechobee
1975-1999

WWW

25 1732 45% 1.5 2.4 "
Okee.Outlets
1982-1999
WWW 25 1732 38% 1.5 1.8 " outflow concs from outlets;  data incomplete < 1982;
test sensitivity to outflow conc monitoring location
Istokpoga5 WWW 12 110 51% 3.5 5.0       inflows/outflows from Istokpoga canal ignored
quarterly/bimonthly sampling
Istokpoga_25 B&M 13 112 52% 3.2 5.9 ""   outflow conc series revised
Jessup5 B&M 8 53 38% 3.3 2.3 outlet backflow; 39% inflow ungauged
Crescent5 B&M 6 71 18% 10 2.8 outlet backflow; 54% inflow ungauged
Thonotosassa5 B&M 10 3.3 31% 11 4.8 high inflow p;inflow volumes not gauged
George5 B&M 6 5.9 -19% 17 0.1 conc. trend;  outlet backflow; negative p retention;
missing inflows 2001; 2001-2003 data ignored
Rodman B&M 9 30 28% 42 21 high HLR; mainstem impoundment; high l/w ratio
Poinsett WSI 16 16 5% 40 5.7       high HLR; favorable depth regimes, but depths
were not directly measured
Harney B&M 12 30 -8% 64 1.6 high HLR; negative p retention
Harney_2 WSI 9 30 -5% 81 1.9 high HLR; negative p retention
St Johns
Marsh CA
B&M 5 94 -13% 140 1.3 high HLR; mixed marsh & lakes;  variable area;
negative p retention;  44% inflow ungauged;
outflow sites in middle; simulations ignore marsh area
Sawgrass WSI 2.6 2.0 13% 374 17       high HLR; part of SJMCA
HellnBlazes WSI 2.7 1.5 9% 449 0.4       high HLR; part of SJMCA
1 - observed & predicted time series with biomachine K values calibrated to each dataset (C1= 150 ppb & C0 = 4 ppb)
2 - sensitivity to calibration using K values of 1.6, 3.2 and 6.4 m/yr.  Joint calibration = 3.2 m/yr.
3 - sensitivity to model formulation (RESERV = DMSTA biomachine, RESERV_K1 = first order, RESERV_K2 = second order)  using joint calibrations for each.
4 - residuals (ln (observed/predicted concentrations)) vs dataset characteristics for individual calibrations
5 - datasets with hydraulic loads in design range for typical CERP reservoirs ( 2 - 20 m/yr)
6 - in the calibration charts, red symbols represent observed values & lines represent simulated values.

 

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http://www.wwwalker.net/dmsta/reservoirs/figs_tabs.html     07/08/2005